In my point of view, the Blue Ray Disc is actually dead. The movies in Germany are still too expensive.
NEC, Microsoft, Toshiba, Intel, IBM und Hewlett Packard had formed the HD-consortium to promote the HD standard.
The all deceisive question however is: Why should one buy a mechanical disc with a movie or software on it when all stuff could actually better be stored on a USB-stick ? Since the 8 GB sticks are out and other non-mechanical memory devices surely on their way, why should one use an antique mechanical disc system ?
The only reason seems to be for copy protection purposes. I wonder if that is a sufficient reason to become a successful product ?
Maybe a small company who builds a copy protection into a USB stick will be the final winner ? If I were in electronics, I'd bet on that.
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